ISRAEL ELECTION: "KING BIBI" IN KUMPI BANGIN A UKNA (REGIME) BEI TA HIAM? ? (News Analysis)
Sept. 20, 2019; Laithai: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Tuesday in parliamentary election results a kipulakkhiat khit zawh in gamvai tawh kisai-ah supna ahih kei leh a lampi khaksakna lianpi (major political setback) tuak hi. Kum 10 a kizom in Israel Prime Minister (PM) zum a tusuak, Israel PM sawt a len pen Netanyahu' Likud party in 120-member Knesset (Parliament) ah majority leh PM term ngana ngah ding a lamet hangin vote 97% kisim khinsa lak panin Knesset tutna (seats) 31 bek ngah zo pan hi. 120-member Knesset ah majority seats ngahna dingin tutna 61 ngah loh kiphamawh a, majority seats ngah zo lo ten government thak dingsak zo lo uh hi.
Vote kikhia khempeuh a kisim khit dek nungin Netanyahu’ right-religious coalition (ama makaih Likud party leh a kipawlpihte) in 55 seats bek ngah zo pan uh ahih manin majority ngahna dingin seat guk a ngah beh uh kisam lai hi. April elections sangin Netanyahu' Likud party’ in Knesset ah tutna tawm ngah zaw a, April election in tutna 35 ngah a, tutung kiteelna ah tutna 31 bek ngah zo ahih manin tutna li khahsuah uh hi. Likud’ adingin opposition party thahat pen leh Israel army chief lui Benny Gantz' makaih centrist Blue and White in single largest party - 33 seats ngah zo ta hi. Gantz’ centrist coalition ten 44 seats ngah ta uh a, Gantz' block - Blue and White (Centrist) = 33; (Centre-Left) Labour-Gesher = 6; (Centre-Left) Democratic Union = 5 tutna ngah uh a, amau kipawlpih (bloc) theih dang teng ngah tawh gawmkhop 57 pha ta hi.
Amah a gum ten "Kumpi Bibi" (King Bibi) a cih uh Netanyahu adingin a kumpi ukna bei taktak ta hiam? Tua bang thukhupna bawl dingin baih lua lai hi. Ahih zongin election results panin a piangthei ding dinmun tuamtuam om lai hi. Tu lianin amau guakin majority seat ngah ding lametna a neih loh manun parties tuamtuam kipawlkhawmna (coalition) tawh elections tuhte lak panin government thak bawl zawhna dingin Knesset ah majority seats 61 ngah zo kuamah om lo tadih hi.
Tua banah President Reuven Rivlin in government thak bawl dingin kua cial ding hiam cih kigen thei nai lo hi. Ahih hangin Netanyahu in ama coalition parties ten tutna 55 ngah uh ahih man govetnment thak bawl dingin hamphatna masa ngah in a mainawt (first mover advantage) theihna dingin lametna nei hi. Ahih hangin Blue and White in Knesset seats tam ngah pen ahih manin party golpen (largest party) suak ta a, Arab parties' coalitions Joint List kici seat 13 ngah ten Gantz a gup uh leh Gantz' coalition in Knesset ah 57 MPs nei suak ziau ding uh hi.
KUMPI DING BAWLPA (THE KINGMAKER)
Netanyahu' Likud leh Gantz' Blue and White coalitions kilangpan'na hangin (majority nei a om lo manin) mawinawt zom thei lo; din'khawl (deadlock) in om ahih manin Knesset ah MP tutna giat a ngah right-wing secular party Yisrael Beiteinu makai Avigdor Lieberman pen tu lai takin kumpi a bawlpa (kingmaker) suak thei dinmun in om hi. Hun khat lai-in Netanyahu tawh kipawl hi napi a gal a suak Lieberman in coalition koimah ah kihelna nei lo hi.
April election in majority seats ngah a om loh manin coalition government phuankhiat loh a kiphatmawh lai takin Netanyahu a gup nuam loh manin PM Netanyahu in kha nga khit nungin cikmah in election Israel politics ah a piang ngei lo September elections neih a sawm teiteina dingin nawhna a bawl Lieberman ahi hi. Tu-in Lieberman in a lungsim hong laih vat in, Netanyahu' Likud party a gup leh Netanyahu in thuneihna len kik thei ding hi.
Ahih hangin Netanyahu’ religious kipawlpih (allies or bloc) tutna kua ngah Shas leh tutna giat ngah United Torah Judaism (UTJ) tawh Lieberman kipawl nuam lo ahih manin Netanyahu in Lieberman' hangin thuneihna a ngah kik theihna ding pen piang thei lo thu bang hi. Lieberman in khanglui ngeina mitdel sialkhau let teta orthodox Jewish parties ten government tungah thuneihna huzap (influence) a neihna uh beisak nuam a, biakna leh politics kikhen liuleu thukham (secular legislation) laptoh ding deih ahih manin Netanyahu' pawlte leh gumte ngaihsutna tawh kitukalh hi. Zanhal (Wednesday) nitak lam in Netanyahu in ama kipawlpihte (allies) kimuhpih a, coalition thak ah note kong nusiatsan kei ding hi ci-in kamciamna pia lai hi.
TUA AHIH LEH A PIANGTHEI DINGTE (POSSIBILITIES) BANG HIAM?
Lieberman in bel Benny Gantz' makaihna tawh Blue and White leh Likud parties tawh kipawlkhawm in a kipumkhat "unity government" bawlkhiat a, Netanyahu' Likud allies Jewish religious parties (Shas + Yamina +UTJ) leh Arab parties (Joint List kici MPs 13 neite) nawlkhinkhiat ding deih hi. Tua nangin Lieberman' unity government kalhna a pian' theih leh "King Bibi" kumpi bangin vaihawmna a beina cihna hi ta ding hi. Tua bek hi loin Prime Minister Netanyahu in nekgukna vai-ah ngawhna (corruption case) a tuahte a zekai pen December in a tungah court in ngawhna bulhkhum (indicted) thei a, thuneihna a khahsuah khak a, court in a mawhpaih leh thongkia thei ahih manin a maban limci vet lo hi.
Tua bang hi napi-in guallelhna April leh September elections in majority a ngah zawh loh manin a ciam khin Netanyahu in a guallelhna pom thei nai lo a, ka guallel hi ci nuam nai loin ama makaih right-wing religious coalition tawh kipawl dingin Prime Minister let theihna ding dinmun a ding Benny Grantz' Blue and White leh Lieberman' Yisrael Beiteinu deih a, ama'n to Blue and White-Yisrael Beiteinu alliance zom nuam loin a thuneihna khahsuah sawm lo hi. Zan in Netanyahu' right-religious bloc (coalition parties i.e. Likud, Shas, Yamina leh UTJ) makai ten document ah suaikai-in Prime Minister dingin Netanyahu gum uh hi. Tua bangin a gup hangun government thak bawlna dingin Knesset ah majority kisam MPs 61 nei zo lo uh a, 55 bek nei uh hi.
Tua bang kawmkal ah Blue and White makai Benny Gantz in Netanyahu' right wing-religious parties alliance tawh a kipawlkhawm nop lohna thu gen hi. Likud party makai Netanyahu’ bloc ah parties dang thum– ultra-orthodox UTJ leh Shas leh religious nationalist Yamina om hi. Gantz ahih kei leh Netanyahu khat zaw penpen in a din'na uh a kheel uh leh unity government piang thei ding a, coalition government tawh thuneihna kitangkhawmin government thak hong kibawl thei bek ding hi. Tua bangin thukimna (compromise) a neih theih kei uh leh parties kilangpan'na hangin mainawt thei loin din'khawlcipna (deadlock) kizomto lai ding hi.
A piang thei dinmun thudang khat leuleu pen Benny Gantz in Lieberman' makaih MPs giat a nei khin Yisrael Beiteinu leh MPs 13 a neih khin Joint List (Arab parties bloc)-te gupna tawh government thak bawlin Prime Minister panmun len thei hi. Ahih hangin Lieberman in government thak ah hih vannuai leitung leh a kitheih loh hangin vannuai leitung ahi lo (“not in this universe and not in a parallel universe”) ah zong Arab parties tawh ka tukhawm kei ding hi ci a, Benny Gantz' makaihna nuai-ah Likud leh Blue and White tawh unity government bawlkhiat ding deih hi.
Tua loin Arab parties bloc Joint List makai Ayman Odeh in MPs 13 a neih manin Knesset ah Arab opposition makai (leader) let ding mitsuan in nei hi. Government thak din' theihna ding leh thuneihna za let theihna ding bek hi loin Israel politics buaina a veng theihna dingin a cil in Joint List tawh kipawlkhop ding ut loin lehdo in a lehpan'na (initial protestations) a neih hangun Blue and White-Labour-Yisrael Beiteinu government in Joint List ten a pualam panin gupna (outside support) nolh ding uh hi cih kigen thei lo hi. Parties makai kuamah in coalition government a bawl zawh kei leh election a thum veina nei kik kul ding hi.
ISRAEL' SEPTEMBER PARLIAMENTALY RESULTS (UPDATES)
Total seats in the Knesset — 120
*Gantz’ bloc (57)
Blue and White (Centrist) = 33
Labour-Gesher (Centre-Left) = 6
Democratic Union (Centre-Left) = 5
*Potential ally (Gantz bloc tawh a kipawl kha thei)
Joint List (Arab parties) = 13
*Netanyahu’ bloc (55)
Likud (Rightwing) = 31
Shas (Orthodox) = 9
United Torah Judaism or UTJ (Orthodox) = 8
Yamina (Religious nationalist) = 7
*Avigdor Liberman’ party
Yisrael Beiteinu (Rightwing) = 8
*Yisrael Beiteinu in tutna (MP) khat ngah beh thei lai dingin kilamen hi.
Democratic process man taktak a kizuih leh President Reulin Rivlin in tutna tam ngah pen "largest party" a suak centrist Blue and White makai Benny Gantz kiangah coalition government a bawlna dingin cialna bawl in, a ngeina bangin ni 42 hun a piak ding kilawm hi. Tua hi leh Netanyahu adingin a hun beina dingin nai cing ta cihna suak ziau ding hi.
A kaikhawm: Thang Khan Lian #ZUNs
